NBA teams playing on a back-to-back have historically been undervalued by the betting market. Using Bet Labs, we detail the optimal strategy for betting on teams playing consecutive games. This article, usually part of our EDGE membership, is completely FREE to read today — we hope you enjoy it!
Because this is such a popular question, we decided to research whether there are historically profitable trends regarding NBA betting and teams playing in back-to-back games. By applying Bet Labs’ “Days Between Games” filter, we were able to determine that teams playing in the second game of a back-to-back have an against the spread (ATS) record of 2058-2118 (49.3% win rate) in regular season games dating back to 2005.
The back-to-back system worked very well for sports bettors and handicappers for quite some time, but in recent years, specifically between the 2008 and 2011 NBA seasons, statistics showed that the road team that was favored in the second game of back to backs, actually have a record of 58-42-1 against the point spread, which means that they are doing the exact opposite of what the system expects them to do.
However, the NBA has gradually reduced these situations over the past few years. The league realized the negative effects of its grueling 82-game schedule that included back-to-backs, three games in four nights, and up until this season, the dreaded four games in five nights.
Sports Betting Library > NBA Betting Articles > Handicapping NBA Teams Playing On Back to Back Nights Several times each year teams in the NBA are forced to play two games on consecutive nights. That situation can be particularly challenging for teams – they are typically played on the road, so teams face tough travel on a short schedule ...
Although the NBA has taken steps to reduce the amount of back-to-backs, NBA teams will average 13.5 back-to-backs, with no-rest games (the second of the back-to-backs) this season. While this accounts for less than 17% of their 82 games, these are spots bettors can capitalize on.
You must always keep tabs on where teams find themselves in their schedules when dissecting how to bet NBA games. Playing on a back-to-back should impact how you view a team’s chances. Even more so if they’re playing on road, and further if that back-to-back is their third game in four nights.
The NBA is back for its new season and it will be a big one as well. Not only is basketball finally returning to normalcy, with little to no restrictions. There will be plenty of big matches even in Week 1. So, this is the right time to look at what to expect! For NBA fans, there will be plenty of live betting on the cards. The action will be ...
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